דילוג לתוכן המרכזי
willit
פתוח · חיPolymarket

Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?

6%
השוק חושב שזה די לא סביר
NO · לא50%YES · כן

הציבור מעריך 6% — כלומר, די לא סביר. הנתון מבוסס על שוק התחזיות Polymarket.

הסתברות לאורך זמן
גרף מגמת ההסתברות להכל: מ-26% ל-6%, ירידה של 20 נקודות אחוז.
תאריךהסתברות
6.11.202526%
7.11.202522%
8.11.202524%
9.11.202521%
10.11.202520%
11.11.202514%
12.11.202517%
13.11.202517%
14.11.202513%
15.11.202514%
16.11.202512%
17.11.202514%
18.11.202514%
19.11.202527%
20.11.202525%
21.11.202525%
22.11.202526%
23.11.202527%
24.11.202527%
25.11.202527%
26.11.202521%
27.11.202521%
28.11.202520%
29.11.202522%
30.11.202519%
1.12.202518%
2.12.202522%
3.12.202526%
4.12.202532%
5.12.202524%
6.12.202524%
7.12.202523%
8.12.202523%
9.12.202524%
10.12.202525%
11.12.202526%
12.12.202525%
13.12.202522%
14.12.202523%
15.12.202521%
16.12.202521%
17.12.202521%
17.12.202521%
18.12.202522%
19.12.202522%
20.12.202521%
21.12.202514%
22.12.202520%
23.12.202516%
24.12.202514%
25.12.202515%
26.12.202516%
27.12.202518%
28.12.202515%
29.12.202519%
30.12.202523%
31.12.202525%
1.1.202622%
2.1.202620%
3.1.202619%
4.1.202620%
5.1.202613%
6.1.202620%
7.1.202618%
8.1.202624%
9.1.202621%
10.1.202630%
11.1.202631%
12.1.202622%
13.1.202633%
14.1.202623%
15.1.202621%
16.1.202621%
17.1.202622%
18.1.202622%
19.1.202622%
20.1.202622%
21.1.202624%
22.1.202622%
23.1.202622%
24.1.202623%
25.1.202621%
26.1.202621%
27.1.202620%
28.1.202620%
29.1.202620%
30.1.202620%
31.1.202620%
1.2.202619%
2.2.202618%
3.2.202617%
4.2.202617%
5.2.202617%
6.2.202616%
7.2.202616%
8.2.202616%
9.2.202616%
10.2.202616%
11.2.202616%
12.2.202616%
13.2.202616%
14.2.202616%
15.2.202619%
16.2.202614%
17.2.202614%
18.2.202617%
19.2.202617%
20.2.202617%
21.2.202613%
22.2.202614%
23.2.202614%
24.2.202617%
25.2.202617%
26.2.202616%
27.2.202614%
28.2.202617%
2.3.202618%
3.3.202618%
4.3.202617%
5.3.202617%
6.3.202617%
7.3.202617%
8.3.202617%
9.3.202617%
10.3.202617%
11.3.202614%
12.3.202614%
14.3.202614%
17.3.202616%
18.3.202615%
20.3.202615%
21.3.202616%
22.3.202616%
23.3.202630%
24.3.202624%
25.3.202624%
26.3.202624%
27.3.202622%
5.4.202616%
9.4.202614%
12.4.202616%
18.4.202615%
22.4.202614%
23.4.202614%
24.4.202614%
25.4.202614%
26.4.202614%
27.4.202614%
28.4.202613%
29.4.202614%
30.4.202614%
1.5.202617%
2.5.202615%
3.5.202618%
4.5.202615%
5.5.202614%
6.5.202614%
7.5.202614%
8.5.202613%
9.5.202613%
10.5.202611%
11.5.202612%
12.5.202612%
13.5.202613%
14.5.202612%
15.5.202613%
16.5.202613%
17.5.202613%
18.5.202612%
19.5.202610%
20.5.202610%
21.5.202611%
22.5.202611%
23.5.202610%
24.5.202610%
25.5.202611%
26.5.202612%
27.5.202612%
28.5.202613%
29.5.202614%
30.5.202614%
31.5.202614%
1.6.202614%
2.6.202614%
3.6.202614%
4.6.202615%
5.6.202614%
6.6.202614%
7.6.202615%
8.6.202614%
9.6.202614%
10.6.202614%
11.6.202614%
12.6.202614%
13.6.202614%
14.6.202614%
15.6.202614%
16.6.202614%
17.6.202613%
18.6.202613%
19.6.202612%
20.6.202610%
21.6.202610%
22.6.202610%
23.6.202610%
24.6.202611%
25.6.202610%
26.6.202610%
27.6.202610%
28.6.202610%
29.6.202610%
30.6.202610%
1.7.202611%
2.7.202612%
3.7.202611%
4.7.202612%
5.7.202611%
6.7.20269%
7.7.20269%
8.7.202611%
9.7.202610%
10.7.202610%
11.7.202610%
12.7.20269%
13.7.202611%
14.7.202611%
15.7.202610%
16.7.202611%
17.7.202611%
18.7.202611%
19.7.202611%
20.7.202611%
21.7.202611%
22.7.202613%
23.7.202612%
24.7.202612%
25.7.202612%
26.7.202612%
28.7.202610%
30.7.20269%
31.7.20269%
1.8.202610%
2.8.202611%
3.8.202611%
4.8.20268%
5.8.20269%
6.8.202610%
7.8.202610%
8.8.20266%
9.8.20267%
10.8.20267%
11.8.20268%
12.8.20268%
13.8.20268%
14.8.20268%
15.8.20268%
16.8.20268%
17.8.20266%
18.8.20266%
19.8.20267%
20.8.20267%
21.8.20267%
22.8.20267%
23.8.20267%
24.8.20269%
25.8.20267%
26.8.20267%
27.8.20266%
28.8.20266%
29.8.20266%
30.8.20266%
31.8.20266%
1.9.20266%
2.9.20266%
3.9.20266%
4.9.20266%
5.9.20266%
6.9.20266%
7.9.20266%
8.9.20266%
8.9.20266%
ואתה — מה דעתך?
השוק אומר 6% שכן
בית