דילוג לתוכן המרכזי
willit
פתוח · חיPolymarket

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

5%
השוק חושב שזה די לא סביר
NO · לא50%YES · כן

הציבור מעריך 5% — כלומר, די לא סביר. הנתון מבוסס על שוק התחזיות Polymarket.

הסתברות לאורך זמן
גרף מגמת ההסתברות להכל: מ-10% ל-5%, ירידה של 5 נקודות אחוז.
תאריךהסתברות
6.11.202510%
7.11.20259%
8.11.202520%
9.11.202521%
10.11.202516%
11.11.202518%
12.11.202517%
13.11.202513%
14.11.202515%
15.11.202514%
16.11.202512%
17.11.202514%
18.11.202517%
19.11.202519%
20.11.202519%
21.11.202519%
22.11.202519%
23.11.202519%
24.11.202518%
25.11.202519%
26.11.202517%
27.11.202514%
28.11.202514%
29.11.202514%
30.11.202514%
1.12.202514%
2.12.202516%
3.12.202515%
4.12.202515%
5.12.202516%
6.12.202514%
7.12.202514%
8.12.202515%
9.12.202515%
10.12.202515%
11.12.202517%
12.12.202516%
13.12.202520%
14.12.202517%
15.12.202517%
16.12.202518%
17.12.202514%
17.12.202514%
18.12.202514%
19.12.202514%
20.12.202514%
21.12.202514%
22.12.202512%
23.12.202511%
24.12.202514%
25.12.202514%
26.12.202517%
27.12.202517%
28.12.202517%
29.12.202517%
30.12.202517%
31.12.202517%
1.1.202611%
2.1.20268%
3.1.20268%
4.1.202616%
5.1.202618%
6.1.202615%
7.1.202613%
8.1.20269%
9.1.202614%
10.1.202615%
11.1.202615%
12.1.202613%
13.1.20269%
14.1.20268%
15.1.20267%
16.1.202612%
17.1.202612%
18.1.202612%
19.1.202612%
20.1.202613%
21.1.202613%
22.1.202613%
23.1.202614%
24.1.202614%
25.1.202613%
26.1.202613%
27.1.202613%
28.1.202612%
29.1.202612%
30.1.202611%
31.1.202611%
1.2.202611%
2.2.202611%
3.2.202611%
4.2.20269%
5.2.202612%
6.2.202613%
7.2.202611%
8.2.202610%
9.2.202611%
10.2.202612%
11.2.202613%
12.2.202612%
13.2.202611%
14.2.202612%
15.2.202612%
17.2.202613%
20.2.202614%
21.2.202614%
22.2.202613%
23.2.202612%
24.2.202610%
25.2.202611%
26.2.202611%
27.2.202611%
28.2.202611%
3.3.20268%
4.3.202612%
5.3.202612%
6.3.202610%
7.3.202614%
8.3.202614%
9.3.202614%
10.3.202614%
11.3.202622%
12.3.202617%
14.3.202612%
15.3.202613%
16.3.202613%
17.3.202614%
18.3.202615%
19.3.202614%
20.3.202614%
21.3.202614%
22.3.202614%
23.3.202614%
24.3.202611%
25.3.202613%
26.3.202612%
27.3.202611%
28.3.202612%
29.3.202612%
30.3.202613%
31.3.202610%
1.4.202612%
2.4.202611%
3.4.20269%
4.4.20269%
6.4.20269%
7.4.20269%
8.4.20269%
9.4.202610%
10.4.20269%
11.4.20267%
13.4.20269%
15.4.20268%
16.4.20269%
17.4.20268%
19.4.20268%
20.4.20268%
21.4.20268%
22.4.20268%
23.4.20268%
24.4.20268%
25.4.20269%
26.4.20269%
27.4.20269%
28.4.202610%
29.4.202611%
30.4.202610%
1.5.202610%
2.5.202610%
3.5.202610%
4.5.202610%
5.5.20269%
6.5.20269%
7.5.20269%
8.5.20269%
9.5.20269%
10.5.20269%
11.5.20269%
12.5.20269%
13.5.20269%
14.5.20269%
15.5.20269%
16.5.20269%
17.5.20269%
18.5.20269%
19.5.20269%
20.5.20268%
21.5.20268%
22.5.20268%
23.5.20268%
24.5.20268%
25.5.20268%
26.5.20268%
27.5.20268%
28.5.20268%
29.5.20268%
30.5.20268%
31.5.20268%
1.6.20268%
2.6.20269%
3.6.20268%
4.6.20269%
5.6.20269%
6.6.20269%
7.6.20269%
8.6.20269%
9.6.20269%
10.6.20268%
11.6.20268%
12.6.20268%
13.6.20268%
14.6.20268%
15.6.20267%
16.6.20268%
17.6.20267%
18.6.20267%
19.6.20267%
20.6.20267%
21.6.20267%
22.6.20267%
23.6.20267%
24.6.20267%
25.6.20267%
26.6.20267%
27.6.20268%
28.6.20266%
29.6.20266%
30.6.20266%
1.7.20266%
2.7.20266%
3.7.20266%
4.7.20266%
5.7.20266%
6.7.20265%
7.7.20265%
8.7.20265%
9.7.20265%
10.7.20265%
11.7.20265%
12.7.20265%
13.7.20265%
14.7.20265%
15.7.20265%
16.7.20265%
17.7.20265%
18.7.20265%
19.7.20265%
20.7.20265%
21.7.20265%
22.7.20266%
23.7.20266%
24.7.20266%
25.7.20266%
26.7.20268%
27.7.20266%
28.7.20266%
29.7.20266%
30.7.20266%
31.7.20266%
1.8.20266%
2.8.20266%
3.8.20265%
4.8.20265%
5.8.20265%
6.8.20265%
7.8.20265%
8.8.20265%
9.8.20265%
10.8.20265%
11.8.20266%
12.8.20265%
12.8.20265%
ואתה — מה דעתך?
השוק אומר 5% שכן
בית