דילוג לתוכן המרכזי
willit
פתוח · חיPolymarket

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

6%
השוק חושב שזה די לא סביר
NO · לא50%YES · כן

הציבור מעריך 6% — כלומר, די לא סביר. הנתון מבוסס על שוק התחזיות Polymarket.

הסתברות לאורך זמן
גרף מגמת ההסתברות להכל: מ-26% ל-6%, ירידה של 20 נקודות אחוז.
תאריךהסתברות
6.11.202526%
7.11.202517%
8.11.202515%
9.11.202515%
10.11.202515%
11.11.202514%
12.11.202520%
13.11.202521%
14.11.202519%
15.11.202520%
16.11.202517%
17.11.202517%
18.11.202517%
19.11.202518%
20.11.202518%
21.11.202518%
22.11.202518%
23.11.202525%
24.11.202519%
25.11.202521%
26.11.202520%
27.11.202528%
28.11.202528%
29.11.202537%
30.11.202532%
1.12.202525%
2.12.202524%
3.12.202522%
4.12.202531%
5.12.202517%
6.12.202516%
7.12.202523%
8.12.202522%
9.12.202522%
10.12.202525%
11.12.202520%
12.12.202523%
13.12.202522%
14.12.202519%
15.12.202520%
16.12.202519%
17.12.202524%
17.12.202524%
18.12.202524%
19.12.202519%
20.12.202520%
21.12.202520%
22.12.202520%
23.12.202520%
24.12.202519%
25.12.202520%
26.12.202519%
27.12.202519%
28.12.202519%
29.12.202520%
30.12.202520%
31.12.202520%
1.1.202620%
2.1.202619%
3.1.202618%
4.1.202619%
5.1.202620%
6.1.202620%
7.1.202621%
8.1.202620%
9.1.202620%
10.1.202620%
11.1.202621%
12.1.202622%
13.1.202622%
14.1.202622%
15.1.202622%
16.1.202621%
17.1.202621%
18.1.202621%
19.1.202622%
20.1.202623%
21.1.202622%
22.1.202620%
23.1.202618%
24.1.202618%
25.1.202618%
26.1.202617%
27.1.202618%
28.1.202619%
29.1.202619%
30.1.202619%
31.1.202618%
1.2.202617%
2.2.202616%
3.2.202616%
4.2.202616%
5.2.202616%
6.2.202617%
7.2.202617%
8.2.202617%
9.2.202617%
10.2.202617%
11.2.202617%
12.2.202617%
13.2.202617%
14.2.202617%
15.2.202617%
17.2.202617%
20.2.202617%
21.2.202616%
22.2.202615%
23.2.202614%
24.2.202615%
25.2.202616%
26.2.202615%
27.2.202617%
28.2.202615%
3.3.202621%
4.3.202621%
5.3.202621%
6.3.202618%
7.3.202621%
8.3.202620%
9.3.202620%
10.3.202628%
11.3.202624%
12.3.202623%
17.3.202628%
18.3.202626%
20.3.202631%
21.3.202629%
22.3.202626%
23.3.202621%
24.3.202625%
25.3.202622%
26.3.202625%
27.3.202624%
28.3.202625%
29.3.202624%
9.4.202619%
18.4.202624%
22.4.202624%
23.4.202624%
24.4.202626%
25.4.202627%
26.4.202624%
27.4.202622%
28.4.202625%
29.4.202626%
30.4.202625%
1.5.202623%
2.5.202623%
3.5.202623%
4.5.202626%
5.5.202626%
6.5.202625%
7.5.202623%
8.5.202624%
9.5.202623%
10.5.202623%
11.5.202623%
12.5.202626%
13.5.202621%
14.5.202626%
15.5.202622%
16.5.202626%
17.5.202618%
18.5.202619%
19.5.202618%
20.5.202618%
21.5.202617%
22.5.202616%
23.5.202616%
24.5.202625%
25.5.202616%
26.5.202620%
27.5.202617%
28.5.202615%
29.5.202621%
30.5.202623%
31.5.202618%
1.6.202621%
2.6.202617%
3.6.202620%
4.6.202620%
5.6.202616%
6.6.202623%
7.6.202622%
8.6.202620%
9.6.202617%
10.6.202617%
11.6.202617%
12.6.202616%
13.6.202617%
14.6.202616%
15.6.202617%
16.6.202619%
17.6.202624%
18.6.202624%
19.6.202623%
20.6.202622%
21.6.202621%
22.6.202619%
23.6.202619%
24.6.202618%
25.6.202620%
26.6.202620%
27.6.202621%
28.6.202621%
29.6.202622%
30.6.202622%
1.7.202620%
2.7.202621%
3.7.202614%
4.7.202620%
5.7.202619%
6.7.202619%
7.7.202616%
8.7.202616%
9.7.202616%
10.7.202617%
11.7.202617%
12.7.202616%
13.7.202616%
14.7.202615%
15.7.202614%
16.7.202614%
17.7.202614%
18.7.202614%
19.7.202616%
20.7.202616%
21.7.202616%
22.7.202614%
23.7.202614%
24.7.202615%
25.7.202614%
26.7.202613%
27.7.202613%
28.7.202613%
30.7.202614%
31.7.202614%
1.8.202613%
2.8.202613%
3.8.202612%
4.8.202612%
5.8.202611%
6.8.202611%
7.8.202610%
8.8.20269%
9.8.20269%
10.8.20269%
11.8.20268%
12.8.20267%
13.8.20268%
14.8.20268%
15.8.20268%
16.8.20268%
17.8.20268%
18.8.20267%
19.8.20268%
20.8.20268%
21.8.202612%
22.8.202611%
23.8.202610%
24.8.202610%
25.8.202610%
26.8.202610%
27.8.202611%
28.8.202610%
29.8.20269%
30.8.20269%
31.8.20269%
1.9.20269%
2.9.20268%
3.9.20268%
4.9.20269%
5.9.20269%
6.9.20268%
7.9.20266%
8.9.20266%
8.9.20266%
ואתה — מה דעתך?
השוק אומר 6% שכן
בית