דילוג לתוכן המרכזי
willit
פתוח · חיPolymarket

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

9%
השוק חושב שזה די לא סביר
NO · לא50%YES · כן

הציבור מעריך 9% — כלומר, די לא סביר. הנתון מבוסס על שוק התחזיות Polymarket.

הסתברות לאורך זמן
גרף מגמת ההסתברות להכל: מ-20% ל-9%, ירידה של 11 נקודות אחוז.
תאריךהסתברות
29.10.202520%
30.10.202520%
31.10.202520%
1.11.202518%
2.11.202518%
3.11.202519%
4.11.202519%
5.11.202519%
6.11.202519%
7.11.202519%
8.11.202518%
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10.11.202518%
11.11.202519%
12.11.202518%
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14.11.202516%
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17.11.202516%
18.11.202516%
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20.11.202517%
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30.11.202516%
1.12.202516%
2.12.202516%
3.12.202514%
4.12.202516%
5.12.202516%
6.12.202516%
7.12.202516%
8.12.202516%
9.12.202516%
10.12.202514%
11.12.202515%
12.12.202515%
13.12.202515%
14.12.202514%
15.12.202515%
16.12.202515%
17.12.202515%
17.12.202515%
18.12.202514%
19.12.202514%
20.12.202514%
21.12.202514%
22.12.202514%
23.12.202514%
24.12.202513%
25.12.202513%
26.12.202512%
27.12.202512%
28.12.202512%
29.12.202512%
30.12.202511%
31.12.20259%
1.1.20269%
2.1.20268%
3.1.20269%
4.1.20269%
5.1.20268%
6.1.20269%
7.1.20269%
8.1.20268%
9.1.20268%
10.1.20269%
11.1.20269%
12.1.20269%
13.1.20269%
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17.1.202610%
18.1.20269%
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20.1.202610%
21.1.202610%
22.1.20269%
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25.1.20269%
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27.1.20269%
28.1.20269%
29.1.202611%
30.1.202611%
31.1.202614%
1.2.202614%
2.2.202613%
3.2.202613%
4.2.202613%
5.2.202613%
6.2.202613%
7.2.202614%
8.2.202617%
9.2.202617%
10.2.202616%
11.2.202615%
12.2.202614%
13.2.202614%
14.2.202614%
15.2.202614%
17.2.202614%
20.2.202613%
21.2.202612%
22.2.202613%
23.2.202613%
24.2.202614%
25.2.202613%
26.2.202613%
27.2.202612%
28.2.202613%
3.3.202612%
4.3.202613%
5.3.202614%
6.3.202614%
7.3.202617%
8.3.202618%
9.3.202617%
10.3.202624%
11.3.202618%
12.3.202618%
17.3.202616%
18.3.202617%
20.3.202616%
21.3.202615%
22.3.202615%
23.3.202615%
24.3.202620%
25.3.202624%
26.3.202622%
27.3.202620%
5.4.202625%
9.4.202622%
12.4.202623%
18.4.202622%
22.4.202621%
23.4.202621%
24.4.202620%
25.4.202619%
26.4.202619%
27.4.202617%
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29.4.202614%
30.4.202614%
1.5.202614%
2.5.202614%
3.5.202612%
4.5.202612%
5.5.202611%
6.5.202611%
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8.5.202611%
9.5.202613%
10.5.202613%
11.5.202613%
12.5.202613%
13.5.202614%
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17.5.202614%
18.5.202614%
19.5.202613%
20.5.202612%
21.5.202612%
22.5.202612%
23.5.202613%
24.5.202612%
25.5.202612%
26.5.202613%
27.5.202613%
28.5.202613%
29.5.202613%
30.5.202613%
31.5.202613%
1.6.202613%
2.6.202613%
3.6.202613%
4.6.202613%
5.6.202613%
6.6.202613%
7.6.202613%
8.6.202613%
9.6.202613%
10.6.202613%
11.6.202613%
12.6.202613%
13.6.202613%
14.6.202613%
15.6.202613%
16.6.202613%
17.6.202613%
18.6.202613%
19.6.202613%
20.6.202613%
21.6.202613%
22.6.202613%
23.6.202612%
24.6.202612%
25.6.202612%
26.6.202612%
27.6.202610%
28.6.202610%
29.6.202610%
30.6.20269%
1.7.20269%
2.7.202610%
3.7.202611%
4.7.20268%
5.7.20269%
6.7.20269%
7.7.20268%
8.7.20268%
9.7.20267%
10.7.20268%
11.7.20268%
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13.7.20268%
14.7.202611%
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16.7.202611%
17.7.202611%
18.7.202611%
19.7.202611%
20.7.202610%
21.7.202610%
22.7.20268%
23.7.202610%
24.7.202610%
25.7.202611%
26.7.202611%
28.7.202611%
30.7.202611%
31.7.202611%
1.8.202611%
2.8.202611%
3.8.202611%
4.8.202610%
5.8.202610%
6.8.202610%
7.8.202610%
8.8.202610%
9.8.202610%
10.8.20269%
11.8.20269%
12.8.20269%
13.8.20269%
14.8.20269%
15.8.20269%
16.8.20269%
17.8.20269%
17.8.20269%
ואתה — מה דעתך?
השוק אומר 9% שכן
בית