דילוג לתוכן המרכזי
willit
פתוח · חיPolymarket

US recession by end of 2026?

8%
השוק חושב שזה די לא סביר
NO · לא50%YES · כן

הציבור מעריך 8% — כלומר, די לא סביר. הנתון מבוסס על שוק התחזיות Polymarket.

הסתברות לאורך זמן
גרף מגמת ההסתברות להכל: מ-44% ל-8%, ירידה של 36 נקודות אחוז.
תאריךהסתברות
30.9.202544%
1.10.202547%
2.10.202538%
3.10.202539%
4.10.202538%
5.10.202536%
6.10.202538%
7.10.202537%
8.10.202539%
9.10.202539%
10.10.202539%
11.10.202538%
12.10.202537%
13.10.202539%
14.10.202538%
15.10.202536%
16.10.202535%
17.10.202535%
18.10.202536%
19.10.202537%
20.10.202537%
21.10.202537%
22.10.202539%
23.10.202542%
24.10.202540%
25.10.202543%
26.10.202544%
27.10.202545%
28.10.202544%
29.10.202546%
30.10.202539%
31.10.202544%
1.11.202540%
2.11.202538%
3.11.202537%
4.11.202537%
5.11.202535%
6.11.202539%
7.11.202540%
8.11.202540%
9.11.202541%
10.11.202540%
11.11.202539%
12.11.202539%
13.11.202539%
14.11.202538%
15.11.202538%
16.11.202537%
17.11.202537%
18.11.202537%
19.11.202537%
20.11.202535%
21.11.202535%
22.11.202536%
23.11.202536%
24.11.202535%
25.11.202535%
26.11.202536%
27.11.202536%
28.11.202536%
29.11.202537%
30.11.202537%
1.12.202537%
2.12.202534%
3.12.202534%
4.12.202533%
5.12.202534%
6.12.202531%
7.12.202531%
8.12.202529%
9.12.202533%
10.12.202533%
11.12.202533%
12.12.202534%
13.12.202531%
14.12.202528%
15.12.202527%
16.12.202528%
17.12.202528%
17.12.202528%
18.12.202528%
19.12.202531%
20.12.202528%
21.12.202530%
22.12.202527%
23.12.202528%
24.12.202528%
25.12.202528%
26.12.202527%
27.12.202527%
28.12.202528%
29.12.202528%
30.12.202527%
31.12.202527%
1.1.202627%
2.1.202626%
3.1.202623%
4.1.202624%
5.1.202624%
6.1.202624%
7.1.202625%
8.1.202626%
9.1.202624%
10.1.202624%
11.1.202624%
12.1.202623%
13.1.202623%
14.1.202622%
15.1.202622%
16.1.202622%
17.1.202622%
18.1.202622%
19.1.202621%
20.1.202621%
21.1.202623%
22.1.202623%
23.1.202623%
24.1.202623%
25.1.202624%
26.1.202624%
27.1.202626%
28.1.202626%
29.1.202626%
30.1.202627%
31.1.202627%
1.2.202627%
2.2.202628%
3.2.202628%
4.2.202626%
5.2.202623%
6.2.202624%
7.2.202626%
8.2.202626%
9.2.202627%
10.2.202625%
11.2.202625%
12.2.202623%
13.2.202623%
14.2.202623%
15.2.202623%
17.2.202622%
18.2.202623%
19.2.202624%
20.2.202622%
21.2.202624%
22.2.202622%
23.2.202623%
24.2.202622%
25.2.202623%
26.2.202621%
27.2.202622%
28.2.202623%
2.3.202623%
3.3.202622%
4.3.202623%
5.3.202624%
6.3.202624%
7.3.202632%
8.3.202632%
9.3.202637%
10.3.202628%
11.3.202628%
12.3.202630%
14.3.202634%
15.3.202635%
16.3.202632%
17.3.202631%
18.3.202631%
19.3.202631%
20.3.202634%
21.3.202635%
22.3.202635%
23.3.202636%
24.3.202634%
25.3.202635%
26.3.202635%
27.3.202636%
28.3.202636%
29.3.202636%
9.4.202630%
18.4.202625%
22.4.202627%
23.4.202626%
24.4.202627%
25.4.202626%
26.4.202626%
27.4.202626%
28.4.202626%
29.4.202626%
30.4.202626%
1.5.202625%
2.5.202624%
3.5.202624%
4.5.202624%
5.5.202625%
6.5.202625%
7.5.202623%
8.5.202622%
9.5.202623%
10.5.202623%
11.5.202623%
12.5.202622%
13.5.202623%
14.5.202623%
15.5.202623%
16.5.202624%
17.5.202624%
18.5.202625%
19.5.202625%
20.5.202625%
21.5.202623%
22.5.202621%
23.5.202622%
24.5.202625%
25.5.202622%
26.5.202623%
27.5.202622%
28.5.202619%
29.5.202622%
30.5.202619%
31.5.202619%
1.6.202621%
2.6.202622%
3.6.202621%
4.6.202621%
5.6.202618%
6.6.202619%
7.6.202620%
8.6.202619%
9.6.202618%
10.6.202618%
11.6.202620%
12.6.202618%
13.6.202619%
14.6.202618%
15.6.202616%
16.6.202616%
17.6.202614%
18.6.202613%
19.6.202613%
20.6.202613%
21.6.202613%
22.6.202613%
23.6.202612%
24.6.202612%
25.6.202612%
26.6.202611%
27.6.202611%
28.6.202612%
29.6.202612%
30.6.202612%
1.7.202612%
2.7.202612%
3.7.202612%
4.7.202611%
5.7.20269%
6.7.202610%
7.7.202611%
8.7.202611%
9.7.202611%
10.7.202610%
11.7.202610%
12.7.202611%
13.7.202611%
14.7.202611%
15.7.202611%
16.7.202610%
17.7.202610%
18.7.202610%
19.7.202616%
20.7.202616%
21.7.202612%
22.7.202612%
23.7.202613%
24.7.202611%
25.7.202611%
26.7.202612%
27.7.202612%
28.7.202613%
30.7.202612%
31.7.202612%
1.8.202613%
2.8.202611%
3.8.202610%
4.8.20268%
5.8.202610%
6.8.202610%
7.8.20269%
8.8.20268%
9.8.20268%
10.8.20268%
11.8.20268%
12.8.20269%
13.8.20269%
14.8.20268%
15.8.20268%
16.8.20268%
17.8.20268%
17.8.20268%
ואתה — מה דעתך?
השוק אומר 8% שכן
בית