דילוג לתוכן המרכזי
willit
פתוח · חיPolymarket

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

10%
השוק חושב שזה די לא סביר
NO · לא50%YES · כן

הציבור מעריך 10% — כלומר, די לא סביר. הנתון מבוסס על שוק התחזיות Polymarket.

הסתברות לאורך זמן
גרף מגמת ההסתברות להכל: מ-23% ל-10%, ירידה של 13 נקודות אחוז.
תאריךהסתברות
30.9.202523%
1.10.202517%
2.10.202513%
3.10.202514%
4.10.202514%
5.10.202514%
6.10.202514%
7.10.202514%
8.10.202514%
9.10.202514%
10.10.202514%
11.10.202514%
12.10.202514%
13.10.202514%
14.10.202514%
15.10.202514%
16.10.202514%
17.10.202514%
18.10.202513%
19.10.202513%
20.10.202513%
21.10.202512%
22.10.202512%
23.10.202511%
24.10.202511%
25.10.202511%
26.10.202511%
27.10.202511%
28.10.202511%
29.10.202511%
30.10.20259%
31.10.202510%
1.11.20259%
2.11.20259%
3.11.20259%
4.11.20259%
5.11.20259%
6.11.20258%
7.11.20258%
8.11.202510%
9.11.202510%
10.11.20259%
11.11.20259%
12.11.20259%
13.11.20259%
14.11.20259%
15.11.20259%
16.11.20259%
17.11.20259%
18.11.20257%
19.11.20257%
20.11.20257%
21.11.20256%
22.11.20256%
23.11.20256%
24.11.20256%
25.11.20256%
26.11.20257%
27.11.20257%
28.11.20256%
29.11.20257%
30.11.20256%
1.12.20256%
2.12.20256%
3.12.20256%
4.12.20256%
5.12.20257%
6.12.20258%
7.12.20258%
8.12.20258%
9.12.20257%
10.12.20259%
11.12.202513%
12.12.202514%
13.12.202514%
14.12.202514%
15.12.202512%
16.12.202512%
17.12.202511%
17.12.202511%
18.12.202511%
19.12.202511%
20.12.202511%
21.12.202510%
22.12.202510%
23.12.202510%
24.12.202511%
25.12.202510%
26.12.202510%
27.12.202510%
28.12.202510%
29.12.202510%
30.12.202510%
31.12.202510%
1.1.202610%
2.1.202611%
3.1.20269%
4.1.20269%
5.1.20269%
6.1.20269%
7.1.20269%
8.1.20269%
9.1.20268%
10.1.20269%
11.1.20269%
12.1.202610%
13.1.20269%
14.1.20269%
15.1.20268%
16.1.20269%
17.1.202610%
18.1.202610%
19.1.20269%
20.1.20269%
21.1.20269%
22.1.20269%
23.1.202614%
24.1.202612%
25.1.202611%
26.1.202612%
27.1.202612%
28.1.202612%
29.1.202612%
30.1.202613%
31.1.202613%
1.2.202613%
2.2.202614%
3.2.202614%
4.2.202614%
5.2.202617%
6.2.202614%
7.2.202616%
8.2.202616%
9.2.202617%
10.2.202618%
11.2.202618%
12.2.202618%
13.2.202619%
14.2.202617%
15.2.202617%
16.2.202617%
17.2.202617%
18.2.202617%
19.2.202617%
20.2.202617%
21.2.202618%
22.2.202619%
23.2.202618%
24.2.202618%
25.2.202618%
26.2.202618%
27.2.202618%
28.2.202618%
1.3.202619%
2.3.202621%
3.3.202618%
4.3.202625%
5.3.202626%
6.3.202626%
7.3.202630%
8.3.202628%
9.3.202627%
10.3.202627%
11.3.202627%
12.3.202628%
13.3.202631%
14.3.202631%
15.3.202631%
17.3.202628%
18.3.202630%
19.3.202633%
20.3.202627%
21.3.202626%
22.3.202628%
23.3.202627%
24.3.202628%
25.3.202626%
26.3.202626%
27.3.202625%
28.3.202625%
29.3.202625%
31.3.202624%
2.4.202627%
9.4.202625%
19.4.202630%
22.4.202630%
23.4.202630%
24.4.202628%
25.4.202628%
26.4.202628%
27.4.202628%
28.4.202628%
29.4.202625%
30.4.202620%
1.5.202620%
2.5.202619%
3.5.202619%
4.5.202617%
5.5.202617%
6.5.202619%
7.5.202621%
8.5.202619%
9.5.202619%
10.5.202621%
11.5.202620%
12.5.202620%
13.5.202618%
14.5.202617%
15.5.202616%
16.5.202616%
17.5.202616%
18.5.202616%
19.5.202617%
20.5.202617%
21.5.202618%
22.5.202618%
23.5.202617%
24.5.202618%
25.5.202619%
26.5.202620%
27.5.202619%
28.5.202619%
29.5.202619%
30.5.202619%
31.5.202619%
1.6.202619%
2.6.202618%
3.6.202619%
4.6.202619%
5.6.202619%
6.6.202611%
7.6.20269%
8.6.202610%
9.6.202612%
10.6.202613%
11.6.202614%
12.6.202614%
13.6.202616%
14.6.202617%
15.6.202620%
16.6.202620%
17.6.202621%
18.6.202614%
19.6.202614%
20.6.202612%
21.6.202614%
22.6.202614%
23.6.202614%
24.6.202616%
25.6.202614%
26.6.202613%
27.6.202612%
28.6.202613%
29.6.202613%
30.6.202614%
1.7.202613%
2.7.202614%
3.7.202616%
4.7.202614%
5.7.202614%
6.7.202614%
7.7.202614%
8.7.202614%
9.7.202616%
10.7.202614%
11.7.202614%
12.7.202614%
13.7.202614%
14.7.202614%
15.7.202614%
16.7.202614%
17.7.202613%
18.7.202613%
19.7.202612%
20.7.202612%
21.7.202611%
22.7.202611%
23.7.202610%
24.7.202611%
25.7.202610%
26.7.20269%
27.7.202610%
28.7.202610%
29.7.202610%
30.7.20268%
31.7.20267%
1.8.20266%
2.8.20267%
3.8.20267%
4.8.20267%
5.8.20268%
6.8.20269%
7.8.20269%
8.8.202610%
9.8.202611%
10.8.202611%
11.8.202610%
12.8.202610%
13.8.20269%
14.8.202610%
14.8.202610%
ואתה — מה דעתך?
השוק אומר 10% שכן
בית