דילוג לתוכן המרכזי
willit
פתוח · חיPolymarket

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

17%
השוק חושב שזה די לא סביר
NO · לא50%YES · כן

הציבור מעריך 17% — כלומר, די לא סביר. הנתון מבוסס על שוק התחזיות Polymarket.

הסתברות לאורך זמן
גרף מגמת ההסתברות להכל: מ-22% ל-17%, ירידה של 5 נקודות אחוז.
תאריךהסתברות
19.7.202522%
20.7.202521%
21.7.202521%
22.7.202521%
23.7.202521%
24.7.202521%
25.7.202521%
26.7.202521%
27.7.202521%
28.7.202521%
29.7.202521%
30.7.202521%
31.7.202521%
1.8.202520%
2.8.202520%
3.8.202520%
4.8.202520%
5.8.202520%
6.8.202520%
7.8.202520%
8.8.202520%
9.8.202520%
10.8.202519%
11.8.202519%
12.8.202519%
13.8.202519%
14.8.202519%
15.8.202519%
16.8.202519%
17.8.202519%
18.8.202519%
19.8.202520%
20.8.202524%
21.8.202527%
22.8.202528%
23.8.202530%
24.8.202530%
25.8.202531%
26.8.202532%
27.8.202533%
28.8.202532%
29.8.202531%
30.8.202532%
31.8.202532%
1.9.202532%
2.9.202535%
3.9.202535%
4.9.202535%
5.9.202535%
6.9.202535%
7.9.202535%
8.9.202535%
9.9.202536%
10.9.202536%
11.9.202536%
12.9.202536%
13.9.202536%
14.9.202536%
15.9.202536%
16.9.202536%
17.9.202536%
18.9.202535%
19.9.202536%
20.9.202536%
21.9.202536%
22.9.202536%
23.9.202535%
24.9.202536%
25.9.202536%
26.9.202536%
27.9.202536%
28.9.202536%
29.9.202537%
30.9.202537%
1.10.202538%
2.10.202538%
3.10.202537%
4.10.202537%
5.10.202537%
6.10.202537%
7.10.202536%
8.10.202537%
9.10.202537%
10.10.202538%
11.10.202537%
12.10.202537%
13.10.202536%
14.10.202536%
15.10.202536%
16.10.202535%
17.10.202535%
18.10.202535%
19.10.202535%
20.10.202535%
21.10.202536%
22.10.202535%
23.10.202535%
24.10.202535%
25.10.202535%
26.10.202535%
27.10.202536%
28.10.202537%
29.10.202537%
30.10.202538%
31.10.202537%
1.11.202537%
2.11.202537%
3.11.202538%
4.11.202538%
5.11.202538%
6.11.202540%
7.11.202539%
8.11.202539%
9.11.202539%
10.11.202539%
11.11.202538%
12.11.202538%
13.11.202538%
14.11.202538%
15.11.202538%
16.11.202538%
17.11.202537%
18.11.202538%
19.11.202537%
20.11.202537%
21.11.202538%
22.11.202537%
23.11.202538%
24.11.202537%
25.11.202537%
26.11.202537%
27.11.202537%
28.11.202537%
29.11.202536%
30.11.202537%
1.12.202537%
2.12.202536%
3.12.202536%
4.12.202536%
5.12.202536%
6.12.202536%
7.12.202536%
8.12.202536%
9.12.202536%
10.12.202537%
11.12.202536%
12.12.202536%
13.12.202536%
14.12.202536%
15.12.202535%
16.12.202537%
17.12.202536%
17.12.202536%
18.12.202536%
19.12.202535%
20.12.202536%
21.12.202535%
22.12.202535%
23.12.202535%
24.12.202535%
25.12.202536%
26.12.202534%
27.12.202534%
28.12.202534%
29.12.202534%
30.12.202534%
31.12.202534%
1.1.202634%
2.1.202636%
3.1.202636%
4.1.202637%
5.1.202638%
6.1.202637%
7.1.202637%
8.1.202636%
9.1.202634%
10.1.202635%
11.1.202635%
12.1.202635%
13.1.202635%
14.1.202635%
15.1.202635%
16.1.202634%
17.1.202635%
18.1.202635%
19.1.202635%
20.1.202635%
21.1.202635%
22.1.202635%
23.1.202635%
24.1.202635%
25.1.202635%
26.1.202635%
27.1.202635%
28.1.202635%
29.1.202635%
30.1.202634%
31.1.202634%
1.2.202634%
2.2.202633%
3.2.202633%
4.2.202633%
5.2.202632%
6.2.202630%
7.2.202630%
8.2.202628%
9.2.202628%
10.2.202628%
11.2.202628%
12.2.202627%
13.2.202627%
14.2.202627%
15.2.202626%
16.2.202628%
17.2.202628%
18.2.202627%
19.2.202627%
20.2.202628%
21.2.202627%
22.2.202627%
23.2.202628%
24.2.202627%
25.2.202627%
26.2.202626%
27.2.202627%
28.2.202626%
1.3.202625%
2.3.202625%
3.3.202625%
4.3.202625%
5.3.202625%
6.3.202625%
7.3.202625%
8.3.202625%
9.3.202625%
10.3.202625%
11.3.202625%
12.3.202625%
14.3.202625%
17.3.202625%
18.3.202624%
20.3.202625%
21.3.202625%
22.3.202625%
23.3.202625%
24.3.202625%
25.3.202624%
26.3.202624%
27.3.202624%
28.3.202624%
29.3.202624%
5.4.202624%
9.4.202627%
22.4.202627%
23.4.202627%
24.4.202626%
25.4.202626%
26.4.202626%
27.4.202626%
28.4.202627%
29.4.202627%
30.4.202627%
1.5.202627%
2.5.202626%
3.5.202626%
4.5.202627%
5.5.202626%
6.5.202626%
7.5.202625%
8.5.202625%
9.5.202625%
10.5.202625%
11.5.202624%
12.5.202624%
13.5.202624%
14.5.202624%
15.5.202624%
16.5.202624%
17.5.202624%
18.5.202624%
19.5.202625%
20.5.202625%
21.5.202625%
22.5.202625%
23.5.202624%
24.5.202624%
25.5.202624%
26.5.202624%
27.5.202624%
28.5.202624%
29.5.202624%
30.5.202624%
31.5.202625%
1.6.202625%
2.6.202625%
3.6.202625%
4.6.202625%
5.6.202625%
6.6.202625%
7.6.202625%
8.6.202625%
9.6.202625%
10.6.202624%
11.6.202624%
12.6.202623%
13.6.202623%
14.6.202623%
15.6.202624%
16.6.202624%
17.6.202624%
18.6.202624%
19.6.202624%
20.6.202624%
21.6.202623%
22.6.202623%
23.6.202623%
24.6.202621%
25.6.202621%
26.6.202621%
27.6.202621%
28.6.202621%
29.6.202621%
30.6.202620%
1.7.202621%
2.7.202620%
3.7.202621%
4.7.202621%
5.7.202621%
6.7.202620%
7.7.202620%
8.7.202618%
9.7.202619%
10.7.202619%
11.7.202619%
12.7.202619%
13.7.202620%
14.7.202620%
15.7.202620%
16.7.202620%
17.7.202620%
18.7.202620%
19.7.202620%
20.7.202620%
21.7.202620%
22.7.202620%
23.7.202620%
24.7.202620%
25.7.202620%
26.7.202620%
27.7.202620%
28.7.202619%
30.7.202619%
31.7.202619%
1.8.202619%
2.8.202619%
3.8.202619%
4.8.202619%
5.8.202618%
6.8.202618%
7.8.202618%
8.8.202618%
9.8.202618%
10.8.202618%
11.8.202618%
12.8.202618%
13.8.202617%
13.8.202617%
ואתה — מה דעתך?
השוק אומר 17% שכן
בית