דילוג לתוכן המרכזי
willit
פתוח · חיPolymarket

Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?

83%
השוק חושב שזה די סביר
NO · לא50%YES · כן

הציבור מעריך 83% — כלומר, די סביר. הנתון מבוסס על שוק התחזיות Polymarket.

הסתברות לאורך זמן
גרף מגמת ההסתברות להכל: מ-51% ל-83%, עלייה של 32 נקודות אחוז.
תאריךהסתברות
13.11.202551%
14.11.202551%
15.11.202553%
16.11.202540%
17.11.202564%
18.11.202574%
19.11.202574%
20.11.202572%
21.11.202566%
22.11.202572%
23.11.202565%
24.11.202563%
25.11.202564%
26.11.202573%
27.11.202565%
28.11.202564%
29.11.202563%
30.11.202563%
1.12.202570%
2.12.202573%
3.12.202569%
4.12.202580%
5.12.202581%
6.12.202580%
7.12.202582%
8.12.202578%
9.12.202584%
10.12.202586%
11.12.202584%
12.12.202586%
13.12.202585%
14.12.202580%
15.12.202582%
16.12.202582%
17.12.202588%
17.12.202588%
18.12.202589%
19.12.202588%
20.12.202589%
21.12.202586%
22.12.202588%
23.12.202590%
24.12.202588%
25.12.202590%
26.12.202590%
27.12.202590%
28.12.202590%
29.12.202590%
30.12.202591%
31.12.202591%
1.1.202690%
2.1.202693%
3.1.202692%
4.1.202693%
5.1.202692%
6.1.202691%
7.1.202682%
8.1.202690%
9.1.202686%
10.1.202688%
11.1.202689%
12.1.202689%
13.1.202688%
14.1.202687%
15.1.202687%
16.1.202687%
17.1.202687%
18.1.202685%
19.1.202684%
20.1.202684%
21.1.202682%
22.1.202681%
23.1.202679%
24.1.202678%
25.1.202678%
26.1.202677%
27.1.202678%
28.1.202679%
29.1.202681%
30.1.202679%
31.1.202677%
1.2.202677%
2.2.202682%
3.2.202684%
4.2.202683%
5.2.202682%
6.2.202682%
7.2.202678%
8.2.202680%
9.2.202680%
10.2.202684%
11.2.202685%
12.2.202686%
13.2.202684%
14.2.202684%
15.2.202679%
17.2.202680%
18.2.202677%
20.2.202679%
21.2.202678%
22.2.202677%
23.2.202678%
24.2.202678%
25.2.202678%
26.2.202678%
27.2.202676%
28.2.202675%
2.3.202674%
3.3.202674%
4.3.202680%
5.3.202680%
6.3.202683%
7.3.202683%
8.3.202679%
9.3.202680%
10.3.202681%
11.3.202681%
12.3.202681%
14.3.202679%
15.3.202678%
16.3.202679%
17.3.202680%
18.3.202679%
19.3.202682%
20.3.202677%
21.3.202681%
22.3.202680%
23.3.202680%
24.3.202678%
25.3.202678%
26.3.202678%
27.3.202681%
28.3.202681%
29.3.202682%
31.3.202682%
2.4.202683%
9.4.202684%
19.4.202685%
22.4.202684%
23.4.202683%
24.4.202683%
25.4.202684%
26.4.202685%
27.4.202685%
28.4.202685%
29.4.202683%
30.4.202684%
1.5.202684%
2.5.202684%
3.5.202684%
4.5.202692%
5.5.202691%
6.5.202695%
7.5.202693%
8.5.202691%
9.5.202689%
10.5.202689%
11.5.202689%
12.5.202689%
13.5.202682%
14.5.202682%
15.5.202681%
16.5.202681%
17.5.202682%
18.5.202682%
19.5.202682%
20.5.202682%
21.5.202680%
22.5.202688%
23.5.202686%
24.5.202687%
25.5.202687%
26.5.202685%
27.5.202685%
28.5.202685%
29.5.202683%
30.5.202683%
31.5.202683%
1.6.202683%
2.6.202683%
3.6.202683%
4.6.202683%
5.6.202683%
6.6.202683%
7.6.202683%
8.6.202684%
9.6.202684%
10.6.202684%
11.6.202684%
12.6.202682%
13.6.202682%
14.6.202681%
15.6.202682%
16.6.202682%
17.6.202681%
18.6.202681%
19.6.202680%
20.6.202682%
21.6.202682%
22.6.202671%
23.6.202672%
24.6.202661%
25.6.202661%
26.6.202661%
27.6.202661%
28.6.202665%
29.6.202666%
30.6.202665%
1.7.202665%
2.7.202672%
3.7.202671%
4.7.202668%
5.7.202669%
6.7.202668%
7.7.202668%
8.7.202668%
9.7.202686%
10.7.202691%
11.7.202692%
12.7.202691%
13.7.202692%
14.7.202692%
15.7.202685%
16.7.202690%
17.7.202687%
18.7.202688%
19.7.202688%
20.7.202687%
21.7.202687%
22.7.202688%
23.7.202688%
24.7.202689%
25.7.202689%
26.7.202689%
27.7.202689%
28.7.202689%
29.7.202689%
30.7.202689%
31.7.202689%
1.8.202691%
2.8.202689%
3.8.202690%
4.8.202689%
5.8.202692%
6.8.202689%
7.8.202690%
8.8.202689%
9.8.202691%
10.8.202688%
11.8.202688%
12.8.202685%
13.8.202684%
14.8.202684%
15.8.202684%
16.8.202682%
17.8.202683%
17.8.202683%
ואתה — מה דעתך?
השוק אומר 83% שכן
בית