דילוג לתוכן המרכזי
willit
פתוח · חיPolymarket

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

61%
השוק חושב שזה יותר סביר מלא
NO · לא50%YES · כן

הציבור מעריך 61% — כלומר, יותר סביר מלא. הנתון מבוסס על שוק התחזיות Polymarket.

הסתברות לאורך זמן
גרף מגמת ההסתברות להכל: מ-15% ל-61%, עלייה של 46 נקודות אחוז.
תאריךהסתברות
23.9.202515%
24.9.20257%
25.9.20257%
26.9.20257%
27.9.20257%
28.9.202518%
29.9.202516%
30.9.202516%
1.10.202516%
2.10.202517%
3.10.202516%
4.10.202514%
5.10.202513%
6.10.202513%
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30.10.202515%
31.10.202514%
1.11.202513%
2.11.202514%
3.11.202514%
4.11.202514%
5.11.202516%
6.11.202516%
7.11.202515%
8.11.202516%
9.11.202516%
10.11.202515%
11.11.202515%
12.11.202515%
13.11.202514%
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17.11.202515%
18.11.202514%
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20.11.202517%
21.11.202518%
22.11.202517%
23.11.202516%
24.11.202517%
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27.11.202519%
28.11.202520%
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30.11.202520%
1.12.202519%
2.12.202520%
3.12.202520%
4.12.202518%
5.12.202518%
6.12.202518%
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8.12.202518%
9.12.202517%
10.12.202517%
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12.12.202517%
13.12.202524%
14.12.202524%
15.12.202521%
16.12.202521%
17.12.202521%
17.12.202521%
18.12.202521%
19.12.202520%
20.12.202520%
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30.12.202520%
31.12.202520%
1.1.202620%
2.1.202620%
3.1.202620%
4.1.202619%
5.1.202620%
6.1.202624%
7.1.202622%
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9.1.202623%
10.1.202621%
11.1.202621%
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1.2.202622%
2.2.202623%
3.2.202619%
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5.2.202620%
6.2.202615%
7.2.202617%
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28.2.202618%
1.3.202620%
2.3.202619%
3.3.202619%
4.3.202625%
5.3.202626%
6.3.202622%
7.3.202623%
8.3.202624%
9.3.202626%
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11.3.202626%
12.3.202627%
14.3.202624%
17.3.202622%
18.3.202624%
20.3.202625%
21.3.202625%
22.3.202623%
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24.3.202623%
25.3.202621%
26.3.202624%
27.3.202623%
28.3.202623%
29.3.202623%
2.4.202621%
9.4.202634%
18.4.202630%
22.4.202628%
23.4.202633%
24.4.202631%
25.4.202639%
26.4.202638%
27.4.202638%
28.4.202639%
29.4.202634%
30.4.202636%
1.5.202636%
2.5.202636%
3.5.202636%
4.5.202636%
5.5.202635%
6.5.202635%
7.5.202618%
8.5.202617%
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31.5.202625%
1.6.202627%
2.6.202626%
3.6.202629%
4.6.202626%
5.6.202626%
6.6.202626%
7.6.202627%
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10.6.202626%
11.6.202626%
12.6.202627%
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17.6.202626%
18.6.202630%
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25.6.202624%
26.6.202627%
27.6.202621%
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29.6.202622%
30.6.202627%
1.7.202620%
2.7.202624%
3.7.202622%
4.7.202622%
5.7.202623%
6.7.202622%
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8.7.202627%
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10.7.202623%
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20.7.202640%
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1.8.202654%
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16.8.202662%
17.8.202661%
17.8.202661%
ואתה — מה דעתך?
השוק אומר 61% שכן
בית