דילוג לתוכן המרכזי
willit
פתוח · חיPolymarket

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

11%
השוק חושב שזה די לא סביר
NO · לא50%YES · כן

הציבור מעריך 11% — כלומר, די לא סביר. הנתון מבוסס על שוק התחזיות Polymarket.

הסתברות לאורך זמן
גרף מגמת ההסתברות להכל: מ-22% ל-11%, ירידה של 11 נקודות אחוז.
תאריךהסתברות
6.11.202522%
7.11.202519%
8.11.202519%
9.11.202516%
10.11.202517%
11.11.202512%
12.11.202517%
13.11.202511%
14.11.202511%
15.11.202519%
16.11.202514%
17.11.202514%
18.11.202518%
19.11.202514%
20.11.202520%
21.11.202517%
22.11.202516%
23.11.202542%
24.11.202531%
25.11.202535%
26.11.202522%
27.11.202546%
28.11.202537%
29.11.202531%
30.11.202525%
1.12.202523%
2.12.202525%
3.12.202525%
4.12.202530%
5.12.202525%
6.12.202520%
7.12.202520%
8.12.202519%
9.12.202537%
10.12.202539%
11.12.202517%
12.12.202515%
13.12.202513%
14.12.202516%
15.12.202516%
16.12.202521%
17.12.202522%
17.12.202522%
18.12.202519%
19.12.202522%
20.12.202523%
21.12.202520%
22.12.202520%
23.12.202520%
24.12.202510%
25.12.202542%
26.12.202538%
27.12.202534%
28.12.202514%
29.12.202541%
30.12.202520%
31.12.202539%
1.1.202635%
2.1.202628%
3.1.202639%
4.1.202630%
5.1.202635%
6.1.202628%
7.1.202627%
8.1.202637%
9.1.202627%
10.1.202626%
11.1.202626%
12.1.202616%
13.1.202618%
14.1.202618%
15.1.202619%
16.1.202618%
17.1.202618%
18.1.202618%
19.1.202617%
20.1.202618%
21.1.202618%
22.1.202617%
23.1.202618%
24.1.202619%
25.1.202619%
26.1.202618%
27.1.202617%
28.1.202617%
29.1.202617%
30.1.202617%
31.1.202617%
1.2.202617%
2.2.202617%
3.2.202617%
4.2.202615%
5.2.202615%
6.2.202614%
7.2.202614%
8.2.202614%
9.2.202614%
10.2.202614%
11.2.202614%
12.2.202614%
13.2.202614%
14.2.202614%
15.2.202614%
16.2.202614%
17.2.202614%
18.2.202614%
19.2.202614%
20.2.202614%
21.2.202614%
22.2.202616%
23.2.202614%
24.2.202614%
25.2.202614%
26.2.202615%
27.2.202615%
28.2.202615%
2.3.202631%
3.3.202623%
4.3.202623%
5.3.202620%
6.3.202619%
7.3.202622%
8.3.202621%
9.3.202618%
10.3.202614%
11.3.202614%
12.3.202619%
14.3.202619%
15.3.202618%
16.3.202619%
17.3.202618%
18.3.202618%
19.3.202616%
20.3.202616%
21.3.202617%
22.3.202615%
23.3.202616%
24.3.202616%
25.3.202616%
26.3.202616%
27.3.202627%
28.3.202634%
29.3.202634%
30.3.202630%
31.3.202628%
1.4.202628%
2.4.202624%
3.4.202625%
4.4.202628%
6.4.202631%
7.4.202626%
8.4.202623%
9.4.202623%
10.4.202620%
11.4.202621%
13.4.202625%
15.4.202627%
16.4.202619%
22.4.202620%
23.4.202621%
24.4.202621%
25.4.202619%
26.4.202618%
27.4.202618%
28.4.202617%
29.4.202614%
30.4.202613%
1.5.202614%
2.5.202613%
3.5.202613%
4.5.202613%
5.5.202611%
6.5.202613%
7.5.202610%
8.5.20269%
9.5.20264%
10.5.20264%
11.5.20265%
12.5.20266%
13.5.20267%
14.5.20267%
15.5.202611%
16.5.20268%
17.5.20268%
18.5.202613%
19.5.202615%
20.5.202614%
21.5.202614%
22.5.202613%
23.5.202614%
24.5.202613%
25.5.202614%
26.5.20269%
27.5.20267%
28.5.20267%
29.5.20267%
30.5.20267%
31.5.20267%
1.6.20268%
2.6.20269%
3.6.202610%
4.6.202613%
5.6.202614%
6.6.202615%
7.6.202614%
8.6.202614%
9.6.202615%
10.6.202614%
11.6.202615%
12.6.202615%
13.6.202613%
14.6.202613%
15.6.202614%
16.6.202612%
17.6.202612%
18.6.202612%
19.6.202612%
20.6.202612%
21.6.202612%
22.6.202612%
23.6.202612%
24.6.202612%
25.6.202612%
26.6.202612%
27.6.202612%
28.6.202612%
29.6.202611%
30.6.202611%
1.7.202612%
2.7.202611%
3.7.202611%
4.7.202611%
5.7.202611%
6.7.202611%
7.7.20269%
8.7.202610%
9.7.202611%
10.7.202615%
11.7.202614%
12.7.202612%
13.7.202613%
14.7.202613%
15.7.202616%
16.7.202614%
17.7.202614%
18.7.202614%
19.7.202614%
20.7.202615%
21.7.202615%
22.7.202616%
23.7.202617%
24.7.202621%
25.7.202621%
26.7.202620%
27.7.202616%
28.7.202616%
30.7.202617%
31.7.202617%
1.8.202617%
2.8.202617%
3.8.202615%
4.8.202615%
5.8.202614%
6.8.202614%
7.8.202612%
8.8.202612%
9.8.202611%
10.8.202612%
11.8.202611%
12.8.202611%
12.8.202611%
ואתה — מה דעתך?
השוק אומר 11% שכן
בית