דילוג לתוכן המרכזי
willit
פתוח · חיPolymarket

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

45%
השוק חושב שזה קרוב לתיקו
NO · לא50%YES · כן

הציבור מעריך 45% — כלומר, קרוב לתיקו. הנתון מבוסס על שוק התחזיות Polymarket.

הסתברות לאורך זמן
גרף מגמת ההסתברות להכל: מ-56% ל-45%, ירידה של 11 נקודות אחוז.
תאריךהסתברות
19.7.202556%
20.7.202556%
21.7.202556%
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23.7.202556%
24.7.202556%
25.7.202556%
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27.7.202556%
28.7.202556%
29.7.202555%
30.7.202555%
31.7.202555%
1.8.202555%
2.8.202555%
3.8.202555%
4.8.202555%
5.8.202555%
6.8.202555%
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27.8.202554%
28.8.202553%
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30.8.202553%
31.8.202553%
1.9.202553%
2.9.202554%
3.9.202554%
4.9.202553%
5.9.202553%
6.9.202552%
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29.9.202556%
30.9.202555%
1.10.202555%
2.10.202555%
3.10.202555%
4.10.202555%
5.10.202555%
6.10.202556%
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30.10.202557%
31.10.202559%
1.11.202559%
2.11.202559%
3.11.202559%
4.11.202559%
5.11.202559%
6.11.202559%
7.11.202560%
8.11.202560%
9.11.202559%
10.11.202560%
11.11.202559%
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17.11.202556%
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20.11.202555%
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1.12.202556%
2.12.202556%
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30.12.202554%
31.12.202554%
1.1.202654%
2.1.202653%
3.1.202654%
4.1.202656%
5.1.202655%
6.1.202655%
7.1.202655%
8.1.202654%
9.1.202654%
10.1.202652%
11.1.202652%
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31.1.202651%
1.2.202650%
2.2.202650%
3.2.202650%
4.2.202649%
5.2.202650%
6.2.202649%
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5.3.202642%
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10.3.202641%
11.3.202639%
14.3.202638%
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29.3.202637%
31.3.202636%
2.4.202637%
9.4.202639%
18.4.202639%
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25.4.202640%
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1.5.202639%
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9.5.202637%
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1.6.202631%
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5.6.202630%
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20.6.202638%
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25.6.202638%
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27.6.202638%
28.6.202638%
29.6.202638%
30.6.202638%
1.7.202642%
2.7.202642%
3.7.202640%
4.7.202639%
5.7.202640%
6.7.202639%
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8.7.202641%
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11.7.202641%
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13.7.202642%
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20.7.202640%
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25.7.202643%
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30.7.202643%
31.7.202643%
1.8.202643%
2.8.202645%
3.8.202646%
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5.8.202646%
6.8.202646%
7.8.202644%
8.8.202643%
9.8.202643%
10.8.202644%
11.8.202644%
12.8.202644%
13.8.202644%
13.8.202645%
ואתה — מה דעתך?
השוק אומר 45% שכן
בית