דילוג לתוכן המרכזי
willit
פתוח · חיPolymarket

Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

2%
השוק חושב שזה די לא סביר
NO · לא50%YES · כן

הציבור מעריך 2% — כלומר, די לא סביר. הנתון מבוסס על שוק התחזיות Polymarket.

הסתברות לאורך זמן
גרף מגמת ההסתברות להכל: מ-26% ל-2%, ירידה של 24 נקודות אחוז.
תאריךהסתברות
23.9.202526%
24.9.20259%
25.9.202510%
26.9.202510%
27.9.202510%
28.9.202510%
29.9.202510%
30.9.202510%
1.10.202510%
2.10.202510%
3.10.202510%
4.10.202511%
5.10.202511%
6.10.202511%
7.10.202511%
8.10.202510%
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18.10.20259%
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25.10.20259%
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29.10.20258%
30.10.20257%
31.10.20257%
1.11.20258%
2.11.20258%
3.11.20258%
4.11.20258%
5.11.20258%
6.11.20256%
7.11.20256%
8.11.20256%
9.11.20256%
10.11.20254%
11.11.20254%
12.11.20254%
13.11.20254%
14.11.20254%
15.11.20254%
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17.11.20254%
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20.11.20254%
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30.11.20253%
1.12.20253%
2.12.20253%
3.12.20253%
4.12.20253%
5.12.20253%
6.12.20253%
7.12.20253%
8.12.20253%
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17.12.20253%
18.12.20253%
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20.12.20253%
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25.12.20253%
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27.12.20253%
28.12.20253%
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30.12.20253%
31.12.20253%
1.1.20263%
2.1.20263%
3.1.20263%
4.1.20263%
5.1.20263%
6.1.20263%
7.1.20263%
8.1.20263%
9.1.20263%
10.1.20263%
11.1.20263%
12.1.20263%
13.1.20263%
14.1.20263%
15.1.20263%
16.1.20263%
17.1.20263%
18.1.20263%
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20.1.20263%
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25.1.20263%
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27.1.20263%
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30.1.20263%
31.1.20263%
1.2.20262%
2.2.20263%
3.2.20263%
4.2.20262%
5.2.20262%
6.2.20262%
7.2.20262%
8.2.20262%
9.2.20262%
10.2.20262%
11.2.20262%
12.2.20262%
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18.2.20264%
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20.2.20263%
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28.2.20262%
1.3.20262%
2.3.20262%
3.3.20262%
4.3.20262%
5.3.20261%
6.3.20262%
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8.3.20261%
9.3.20263%
10.3.20262%
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12.3.20262%
13.3.20268%
14.3.20263%
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18.3.20263%
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30.3.20262%
31.3.20262%
1.4.20262%
2.4.20261%
9.4.20263%
18.4.20266%
22.4.20268%
23.4.202610%
24.4.20268%
25.4.20267%
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27.4.20266%
28.4.20267%
29.4.202610%
30.4.202611%
1.5.20269%
2.5.20269%
3.5.20267%
4.5.20269%
5.5.20269%
6.5.202611%
7.5.202621%
8.5.202618%
9.5.202616%
10.5.202622%
11.5.202620%
12.5.202619%
13.5.202621%
14.5.202622%
15.5.202623%
16.5.202625%
17.5.202625%
18.5.202624%
19.5.202625%
20.5.202625%
21.5.202625%
22.5.202623%
23.5.202623%
24.5.202619%
25.5.202619%
26.5.202617%
27.5.202619%
28.5.202619%
29.5.202621%
30.5.202620%
31.5.202623%
1.6.202625%
2.6.202624%
3.6.202622%
4.6.202619%
5.6.202622%
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8.6.202618%
9.6.202612%
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13.6.202611%
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15.6.202612%
16.6.202614%
17.6.202612%
18.6.20269%
19.6.20268%
20.6.20267%
21.6.20267%
22.6.20268%
23.6.20269%
24.6.20267%
25.6.20267%
26.6.20267%
27.6.202617%
28.6.202618%
29.6.202616%
30.6.202616%
1.7.202614%
2.7.202613%
3.7.202612%
4.7.202613%
5.7.202612%
6.7.202612%
7.7.202614%
8.7.202612%
9.7.202613%
10.7.202614%
11.7.202614%
12.7.202617%
13.7.202615%
14.7.202613%
15.7.20264%
16.7.20264%
17.7.20265%
18.7.20263%
19.7.20262%
20.7.20265%
21.7.20262%
22.7.20262%
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24.7.20261%
25.7.20262%
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30.7.20261%
31.7.20261%
1.8.20261%
2.8.20261%
3.8.20261%
4.8.20261%
5.8.20261%
6.8.20262%
7.8.20261%
8.8.20262%
9.8.20261%
10.8.20262%
11.8.20262%
12.8.20262%
13.8.20262%
14.8.20262%
15.8.20262%
16.8.20262%
17.8.20262%
17.8.20262%
ואתה — מה דעתך?
השוק אומר 2% שכן
בית