דילוג לתוכן המרכזי
willit
פתוח · חיPolymarket

Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

6%
השוק חושב שזה די לא סביר
NO · לא50%YES · כן

הציבור מעריך 6% — כלומר, די לא סביר. הנתון מבוסס על שוק התחזיות Polymarket.

הסתברות לאורך זמן
גרף מגמת ההסתברות להכל: מ-10% ל-6%, ירידה של 4 נקודות אחוז.
תאריךהסתברות
17.10.202510%
18.10.20254%
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1.12.20253%
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30.12.202514%
31.12.20258%
1.1.20268%
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4.1.20266%
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31.1.20265%
1.2.20265%
2.2.20266%
3.2.202613%
4.2.202611%
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1.3.20267%
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1.5.20263%
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1.6.20262%
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1.7.20262%
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1.10.20266%
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ואתה — מה דעתך?
השוק אומר 6% שכן
בית