דילוג לתוכן המרכזי
willit
פתוח · חיPolymarket

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

19%
השוק חושב שזה די לא סביר
NO · לא50%YES · כן

הציבור מעריך 19% — כלומר, די לא סביר. הנתון מבוסס על שוק התחזיות Polymarket.

הסתברות לאורך זמן
גרף מגמת ההסתברות להכל: מ-14% ל-19%, עלייה של 5 נקודות אחוז.
תאריךהסתברות
6.11.202514%
7.11.202513%
8.11.202512%
9.11.202510%
10.11.202514%
11.11.202512%
12.11.202512%
13.11.202512%
14.11.202512%
15.11.202512%
16.11.202512%
17.11.202512%
18.11.202512%
19.11.202511%
20.11.202513%
21.11.202511%
22.11.20259%
23.11.20259%
24.11.20259%
25.11.202510%
26.11.20258%
27.11.20258%
28.11.20258%
29.11.20258%
30.11.20258%
1.12.20258%
2.12.20259%
3.12.20258%
4.12.20258%
5.12.20258%
6.12.20258%
7.12.20258%
8.12.20259%
9.12.20256%
10.12.20257%
11.12.20256%
12.12.20256%
13.12.20256%
14.12.20257%
15.12.20257%
16.12.20257%
17.12.20259%
17.12.20259%
18.12.20259%
19.12.20258%
20.12.20259%
21.12.20259%
22.12.20259%
23.12.20259%
24.12.20259%
25.12.20259%
26.12.20259%
27.12.20259%
28.12.20259%
29.12.20259%
30.12.20259%
31.12.20259%
1.1.20268%
2.1.20267%
3.1.20269%
4.1.20268%
5.1.202613%
6.1.202616%
7.1.202613%
8.1.202612%
9.1.202614%
10.1.202616%
11.1.202616%
12.1.202613%
13.1.202613%
14.1.202613%
15.1.202612%
16.1.202612%
17.1.202612%
18.1.202612%
19.1.202613%
20.1.202614%
21.1.202614%
22.1.202614%
23.1.202614%
24.1.202610%
25.1.202611%
26.1.202611%
27.1.202611%
28.1.202614%
29.1.202614%
30.1.202613%
31.1.202616%
1.2.202616%
2.2.202615%
3.2.202616%
4.2.202614%
5.2.202613%
6.2.202614%
7.2.202614%
8.2.202615%
9.2.202614%
10.2.202614%
11.2.202614%
12.2.202614%
13.2.202614%
14.2.202614%
15.2.202613%
16.2.202613%
17.2.202613%
18.2.202613%
19.2.202614%
20.2.202618%
21.2.202619%
22.2.202619%
23.2.202618%
24.2.202619%
25.2.202619%
26.2.202620%
27.2.202617%
28.2.202621%
1.3.202627%
2.3.202619%
3.3.202622%
4.3.202633%
5.3.202626%
6.3.202627%
7.3.202628%
8.3.202631%
9.3.202635%
10.3.202628%
11.3.202630%
12.3.202628%
13.3.202634%
14.3.202641%
15.3.202643%
16.3.202643%
17.3.202651%
18.3.202653%
19.3.202656%
20.3.202659%
21.3.202656%
22.3.202657%
23.3.202659%
24.3.202651%
25.3.202654%
26.3.202662%
27.3.202662%
28.3.202661%
29.3.202660%
30.3.202668%
31.3.202667%
1.4.202655%
2.4.202650%
3.4.202657%
4.4.202653%
6.4.202658%
7.4.202661%
8.4.202628%
9.4.202635%
10.4.202630%
11.4.202630%
13.4.202633%
14.4.202635%
15.4.202630%
16.4.202632%
17.4.202631%
19.4.202634%
20.4.202636%
21.4.202631%
22.4.202628%
23.4.202631%
24.4.202633%
25.4.202632%
26.4.202634%
27.4.202634%
28.4.202634%
29.4.202634%
30.4.202633%
1.5.202634%
2.5.202631%
3.5.202630%
4.5.202630%
5.5.202630%
6.5.202628%
7.5.202621%
8.5.202624%
9.5.202622%
10.5.202622%
11.5.202628%
12.5.202627%
13.5.202628%
14.5.202628%
15.5.202628%
16.5.202628%
17.5.202632%
18.5.202631%
19.5.202628%
20.5.202633%
21.5.202628%
22.5.202626%
23.5.202630%
24.5.202618%
25.5.202619%
26.5.202619%
27.5.202619%
28.5.202623%
29.5.202618%
30.5.202618%
31.5.202618%
1.6.202616%
2.6.202617%
3.6.202618%
4.6.202617%
5.6.202617%
6.6.202617%
7.6.202616%
8.6.202617%
9.6.202619%
10.6.202619%
11.6.202622%
12.6.202619%
13.6.202618%
14.6.202617%
15.6.202612%
16.6.202613%
17.6.202613%
18.6.202613%
19.6.202613%
20.6.202614%
21.6.202614%
22.6.202614%
23.6.202614%
24.6.202614%
25.6.202614%
26.6.202613%
27.6.202613%
28.6.202614%
29.6.202614%
30.6.202614%
1.7.202614%
2.7.202614%
3.7.202614%
4.7.202613%
5.7.202613%
6.7.202612%
7.7.202612%
8.7.202614%
9.7.202616%
10.7.202616%
11.7.202617%
12.7.202617%
13.7.202618%
14.7.202620%
15.7.202620%
16.7.202622%
17.7.202623%
18.7.202628%
19.7.202632%
20.7.202631%
21.7.202627%
22.7.202628%
23.7.202628%
24.7.202631%
25.7.202631%
26.7.202625%
27.7.202621%
28.7.202623%
29.7.202625%
30.7.202624%
31.7.202625%
1.8.202625%
2.8.202626%
3.8.202621%
4.8.202622%
5.8.202617%
6.8.202616%
7.8.202618%
8.8.202617%
9.8.202617%
10.8.202616%
11.8.202617%
12.8.202618%
12.8.202619%
ואתה — מה דעתך?
השוק אומר 19% שכן
בית