דילוג לתוכן המרכזי
willit
פתוח · חיPolymarket

Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

3%
השוק חושב שזה די לא סביר
NO · לא50%YES · כן

הציבור מעריך 3% — כלומר, די לא סביר. הנתון מבוסס על שוק התחזיות Polymarket.

הסתברות לאורך זמן
גרף מגמת ההסתברות להכל: מ-25% ל-3%, ירידה של 22 נקודות אחוז.
תאריךהסתברות
17.10.202525%
18.10.20259%
19.10.202510%
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21.10.20259%
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31.10.20259%
1.11.20259%
2.11.20259%
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18.11.202510%
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1.12.202510%
2.12.202510%
3.12.202510%
4.12.20259%
5.12.20259%
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8.12.20259%
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10.12.202510%
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13.12.20259%
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18.12.202510%
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31.12.202510%
1.1.202610%
2.1.20269%
3.1.20269%
4.1.202610%
5.1.20269%
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12.1.20268%
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31.1.20265%
1.2.20263%
2.2.20262%
3.2.20262%
4.2.20262%
5.2.20263%
6.2.20264%
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8.2.20265%
9.2.20266%
10.2.20267%
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28.2.20264%
1.3.20263%
2.3.20262%
3.3.20263%
4.3.20263%
5.3.20264%
6.3.20265%
7.3.20263%
8.3.20267%
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31.3.20263%
2.4.20263%
9.4.20263%
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1.5.20264%
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19.5.20268%
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24.5.202616%
25.5.20269%
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27.5.202611%
28.5.20268%
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30.5.20266%
31.5.20268%
1.6.20267%
2.6.20267%
3.6.20268%
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5.6.20268%
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8.6.20267%
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12.6.20266%
13.6.20269%
14.6.20266%
15.6.20269%
16.6.20265%
17.6.20266%
18.6.20268%
19.6.202613%
20.6.20269%
21.6.20267%
22.6.202611%
23.6.202610%
24.6.202611%
25.6.20268%
26.6.202610%
27.6.202610%
28.6.202613%
29.6.202611%
30.6.202611%
1.7.202611%
2.7.202612%
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19.7.20266%
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30.7.20265%
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1.8.20264%
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1.9.20264%
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4.9.20265%
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30.9.20264%
1.10.20264%
2.10.20264%
3.10.20262%
4.10.20262%
5.10.20263%
5.10.20263%
ואתה — מה דעתך?
השוק אומר 3% שכן
בית